With Kyrie Irving out for the remainder of the playoffs, the point spread and total have been adjusted for Game 2 (8 p.m. ET, ABC). About seven hours before tipoff, Golden State is a 7.5- to 8-point favorite, and the total is around 200.5. Check The Linemakers on Sporting News’ odds page for current Las Vegas lines.
After 10,000 simulations, AccuScore gives the Warriors a 75.6 percent chance to win the game outright. That’s pretty much in line with the money-line on Golden State. Multiple Vegas books are dealing GS -360, odds that imply a 78.3 percent chance of winning.
The average score after AccuScore ran its 10,000-plus simulations is 102 - 94.
Golden State has about five times the chance at a big win (10 points or more) than does Cleveland. The close win percentages are more comparable. The Warriors have about an 11 percent chance at a close win (4 points or less), compared to the Cavaliers’ probability at 8.3 percent.
AccuScore Best Bet: There’s a 57 percent chance the total stays UNDER 200.5. With Irving out for Cleveland, the offensive burden falls on the shoulders of LeBron James.
Supporting trends: The total has stayed UNDER in four of the Cavaliers’ last five games on the road….The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of the Warriors’ last 13 games.
ATS Trends: Golden State is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games.
Check out AccuScore.com for today’s ATS pick.
Projected Leaders LeBron James: 35 points, 11 assists, 10 rebounds, 1 steal, 1 block, 7 TOs Stephen Curry: 26 points (4-9 3PM), 11 assists, 5 rebounds, 3 steals, 4 TOs
More picks: The Linemakers offer side, total | Props
